Our view: P&G is paying for credibility and consumer habit, not only supplement revenue.
Large consumer companies are effective at:
- Manufacturing
- Distribution
- Retail relationships
- Media buying
- International expansion
- Portfolio management
But they are not always effective at creating culturally relevant challenger brands.
Thorne already has:
- Premium positioning
- Trust
- Practitioner credibility
- A younger wellness audience
- Direct consumer relationships
P&G can potentially accelerate:
- Global distribution
- Retail penetration
- Product development
- Media investment
- Supply-chain scale
But the integration risk is real.
The more Thorne begins to feel like a conventional mass-market supplement brand, the more it may lose the credibility that justified the acquisition price.
The Multiple Is Significant
At roughly US$650 million in expected revenue, the US$3.8 billion purchase price implies a substantial revenue multiple.
That means P&G is underwriting:
Discussion
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